| Rationale and Scope of the
1997 Programme The
terms of reference of the 1996 projects provide for the Contractors to suggest in close
co-operation with Tacis and the Working Group, areas where follow up actions would be
required, to address urgent needs, without waiting for the full completion of the 1996
projects. These actions would most likely consist of assessment of the hydrocarbon
resources that are or could be available to support the supply to the domestic markets as
well as exports to other countries, and technical assistance in setting adequate methods
and procedures for hydrocarbon resources management including the procurement of computer
equipment and associated software.
Rationale and Objectives
of the Project
It is expected that the
results of the project identification and feasibility studies undertaken within the 1996
INOGATE projects will make it possible to identify investment opportunities and projects
that could be financed by international commercial or multilateral financing agencies.
Another essential element
of the preparation of these investment projects and of the mobilisation of the necessary
financing, is the ability of the project sponsors to demonstrate that the timely and
secure availability of the hydrocarbon resources for the sustainable operation of these
projects. This implies that:
i. the hydrocarbon
resources to be dedicated to the projects have been assessed according to internationally
recognised practices, and
ii. participating countries
have the means to set up and maintain adequate hydrocarbon resources management and
accounting systems.
This is not necessarily the
case and a number of Participating Countries are still relying on methods and procedures
dating from the FSU, which need to be updated and modernised.
As indicated at the first
meeting of the Working Group, these activities can take place while the transport related
infrastructure projects financed by Tacis under the 1996 INOGATE programme are being
implemented and should therefore form part of the 1997 INOGATE programme.
Project Objectives
As indicated above an
essential element of interstate oil and gas trade and exports is the assessment of the
hydrocarbon resources that are or could be available to support over time, both the supply
of the domestic markets as well as exports to other countries.
Apart from the importance
of this assessment for oil resources this assessment is also very important for gas since:
i. most of the countries
participating in INOGATE have an identified gas potential and practically all of them use
and will continue to use natural gas (locally produced or imported) extensively for
meeting a significant part of their domestic energy consumption. Following the break up of
the FSU each country needs to assess and develop its own resources independently, within
the limits set by international energy prices, and determine over the long run the share
of their national resources that will be dedicated to national markets and the share that
should be available for exports.
ii. gas investments are
generally supported by medium or long term contracts between exporters and buyers with a
commitment of the former to "earmark" the resources to service the contract and
of the latter to buy the contracted volumes. While the hydrocarbon potential, including
the gas potential of the region is considered high, the way hydrocarbon resources have
been accounted for in the past is not fully consistent with internationally recognised
practices.
It is therefore important
that the countries participating in the INOGATE programme have the means to:
i. assess their hydrocarbon
reserves, particularly gas reserves, according to internationally recognised standards,
and project the future production that can be supported economically by these reserves.
ii. assess the investments
that are required to upgrade probable reserves to proven reserves and to identify
alternative ways of financing the investments required, including the participation of
international energy companies to this development,
iii. maintain adequate data
about production, reserves depletion and additions so as to design resource exploitation
policies that take into account:
- the resource endowment of the country,
- its current and future needs,
- the relative costs and benefits of exploring
for and developing new resources for exports,
- train the necessary staff in modern methods
of hydrocarbon resources management.
The proposed project(s)
will be designed to achieve all or part of the objectives referred to above depending on
the specific needs of each country.
Component 1: Training
This component will
concern all Participating Countries and should include a series of workshops
(number of workshops to be proposed by the contractor) aiming at presenting:
- the methodology used by international energy
companies, financial institutions and governments for assessing and estimating reserves
and production that can be expected from these reserves and highlighting differences with
the practices of the FSU. These workshops should benefit from the participation of
representatives of oil and gas international companies as well as from international
financial institutions (private or multilateral),
- economic principles commonly used by western
companies for the valuation of hydrocarbon resources, with emphasis on the evaluation of
the cost of production at various stages of field development and the impact of downstream
costs (treatment and transport) as well as benefits (condensates associated with gas
production) on the economics of hydrocarbon resources development,
- the state of the art in hydrocarbon
geophysical and geological resources assessment and management both in terms of economic
approaches and information technology (computer system),
- requirements of financial institutions as
well as buyers in terms of reserve certification, production estimates and dedication of
hydrocarbon resources within the framework of large international oil and gas
infrastructure project financing,
- organisational set ups commonly used by
companies, government and other concerned institutions (including international
multilateral institutions) to monitor hydrocarbon reserves and associated production,
- recommending "best practices
procedures" that could be applied by the oil and companies and administration of
participating countries and developing a computer based "best practice manual"
(CD-ROM for example that could be used by them for further training).
In addition, these
workshops should provide the opportunity for the Participating Countries to present their
experience and to discuss issues that they have been facing since independence.
Component 2: Country
Specific Technical Assistance Packages
The resource endowment
of Participating Countries, as well as the development stage of their hydrocarbon
resources is quite diverse. In addition, previous assistance projects, financed by Tacis
or other international or bilateral institutions have already been implemented or are
under implementation. It is therefore clear that the assistance provided through the
INOGATE programme should not duplicate previous assistance and should concentrate on
issues that are related to hydrocarbon resources that are likely to be exported and to
transit through other countries, who may or may not be participating to the INOGATE
project.
After an assessment of the
situation specific sub-projects will have to be designed for each interested
country, or group of countries, whose scope should be based on proposals submitted by the
government of these countries or groups of countries. These proposals would be reviewed by
the Contractor(s) selected by the Commission and representatives of the Participating
Countries in order to assess their technical, economic and financial merits and priority.
Each of the sub-project
proposals should include, without necessarily being limited to:
- a description of current reserve accounting
and production forecast practices, including an inventory of the data available to support
current evaluations,
- an assessment of the capabilities of local
oil and gas companies and/or government services in reserves assessment, production
accounting and all matters related to the efficient management of hydrocarbon resources.
This assessment should include both:
- the availability and qualification of staff,
- the availability of equipment (computers and
associated software) for reserve evaluation and production accounting and monitoring,
- an assessment of the "needs" of
the country expressed in terms of technical assistance (consultant services), equipment
and training.
Each sub-project identified
by Participating Country and submitted to Tacis for further consideration should be fully
endorsed by the government (s) of the country (ies) to be involved in its implementation
and its future operation.
The review of the proposals
will be carried out by the Contractor(s) selected by Tacis. This Contractor(s) will
prepare, in close consultation with Tacis and the Working Group, recommendations for the
selection of projects to be supported by Tacis. These recommendations will include a list
of the conditions to be fulfilled to ensure successful and timely processing of the
proposed project and of its implementation.
These recommendations will
be summarised in a "Project Report" that should also include:
- engineering studies and project design,
taking into account the recommendations made at the selection stage as well as any
requirement for adjustments to the original proposals to take into account possible
synergy between projects,
- definition of procurement packages taking
into account the respective delivery time of critical equipment as well as the rules and
procedures of Tacis and of local and international financing agencies (public of private),
respectively,
- detailed project cost estimates as well as
financing arrangements for foreign currency as well as local currency requirements,
as well as projected disbursement schedules,
- detailed implementation arrangements for
project implementation including but not necessarily limited to:
- method of implementation, including force
account,
- project monitoring, reporting and
supervision arrangements.
This report will be
submitted to both Participating Countries and Tacis for approval and will form the basis
for the implementation of the selected sub-projects.
Within these sub-projects
the Contractor(s) is expected to:
- provide consulting services related to, but
not limited to pilot reservoir studies, production enhancement studies, well activation
. etc and more generally all aspects of hydrocarbon resource development that need
to be improved.
- design, in close co-operation with
Counterparts designated by beneficiary countries a programme aiming at improving
hydrocarbon resources assessment and management. This programme could be based on the
"recommended best practices" designed during the training phase
- procure in accordance with Tacis rules and
regulations and within the limits set by Tacis critical equipment and related software
required for the implementation of the first phase of this programme,
- train Counterpart staff.
In selecting the
sub-project and in carrying the tasks referred to above the Contractor should concentrate
on "projects" that will use new proven technology, have a short pay-back, could
be replicated and would be attractive to potential investors. |